Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock Performance
| AGM Stock | USD 149.46 24.58 14.12% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.64, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Federal Agricultural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federal Agricultural is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Federal Agricultural has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to confirm Federal Agricultural's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Federal Agricultural performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Federal Agricultural Mortgage has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (14.12) | Five Day Return (16.98) | Year To Date Return (15.29) | Ten Year Return 348.16 | All Time Return 8.4 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0345 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 6 | Dividend Date 2025-12-31 |
1 | Deadline for shareholders requests on the 2026 AGM agenda extended | 12/19/2025 |
| Federal Agricultural dividend paid on 31st of December 2025 | 12/31/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 163 shares by Aparna Ramesh of Federal Agricultural at 195.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/14/2026 |
3 | Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporations recent 3.5 percent pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures | 01/16/2026 |
4 | Top Picks 2026 Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. - moneyshow.com | 01/20/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 424 shares by Robert Maines of Federal Agricultural at 188.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
6 | Top Picks 2026 Eli Lilly Co. | 01/28/2026 |
7 | Farmer Mac to Announce Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results | 02/05/2026 |
8 | Fund Opens 7.8 Million Position in Farmer Mac Despite 20 percent SP Underperformance | 02/13/2026 |
9 | A Glimpse of Federal Agriculturals Earnings Potential | 02/18/2026 |
10 | Federal Agricultural Shares Retreat After Broader Indices Turn Negative | 02/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.8 B |
Federal Agricultural Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 16,602 in Federal Agricultural Mortgage on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,553) from holding Federal Agricultural Mortgage or give up 9.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal Agricultural Mortgage is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.306% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Federal, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Federal Agricultural Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 149.46 | 90 days | 149.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Agricultural to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Federal Agricultural Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Federal Agricultural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Agricultural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Agricultural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federal Agricultural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Agricultural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Agricultural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Agricultural Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Agricultural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Federal Agricultural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Agricultural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Agricultural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Agricultural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Federal Agricultural paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Federal Agricultural Shares Retreat After Broader Indices Turn Negative |
Federal Agricultural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Agricultural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Agricultural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 B |
Federal Agricultural Fundamentals Growth
Federal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Agricultural, and Federal Agricultural fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0068 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.57 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.70 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 32.8 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 9.37 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.87 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.61 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.02 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.61 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 377.95 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 258.1 M | ||||
| Net Income | 182.49 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.02 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 85.18 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 30.82 B | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 107.83 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 80.06 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 17.54 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.9 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 35.37 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.05 B | ||||
About Federal Agricultural Performance
By examining Federal Agricultural's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Federal Agricultural's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Federal Agricultural is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Federal Agricultural performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Agricultural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Agricultural help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Agricultural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Federal Agricultural paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Federal Agricultural Shares Retreat After Broader Indices Turn Negative |
- Analyzing Federal Agricultural's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Agricultural's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Federal Agricultural's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Federal Agricultural's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Agricultural's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Agricultural's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Agricultural's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Will Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance sector continue expanding? Could Federal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Federal Agricultural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 5.9 | Earnings Share 17.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
Investors evaluate Federal Agricultural using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Federal Agricultural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Federal Agricultural's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Federal Agricultural represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Federal Agricultural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.